Autoregressive conditional betas - Ensai, Ecole Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Analyse de l'Information
Journal Articles Journal of Econometrics Year : 2024

Autoregressive conditional betas

Abstract

This paper introduces an autoregressive conditional beta (ACB) model that allows regressions with dynamic betas (or slope coefficients) and residuals with GARCH conditional volatility. The model fits in the (quasi) score-driven approach recently proposed in the literature, and it is semi-parametric in the sense that the distributions of the innovations are not necessarily specified. The time-varying betas are allowed to depend on past shocks and exogenous variables. We establish the existence of a stationary solution for the ACB model, the invertibility of the score-driven filter for the time-varying betas, and the asymptotic properties of one-step and multistep QMLEs for the new ACB model. The finite sample properties of these estimators are studied by means of an extensive Monte Carlo study. Finally, we also propose a strategy to test for the constancy of the conditional betas. In a financial application, we find evidence for time-varying conditional betas and highlight the empirical relevance of the ACB model in a portfolio and risk management empirical exercise.
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Year Month Jours
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Saturday, December 14, 2024
Embargoed file
Saturday, December 14, 2024
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Dates and versions

hal-04676069 , version 1 (23-08-2024)

Identifiers

Cite

F. Blasques, Christian Francq, Sébastien Laurent. Autoregressive conditional betas. Journal of Econometrics, 2024, 238 (2), pp.105630. ⟨10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.105630⟩. ⟨hal-04676069⟩
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